Single-Season Player Projections for 2018-2019

 

The list below projects NHL player performances for the 2018-2019 season. The current model uses past NHL performance as a predictor based on age, the number of seasons in the league and actual performance in several key categories (therefore, many 2018-2019 rookie players will not be included):

1) Average Time On Ice

2) Shots per 60

3) Assists per 60

4) Shooting Percentage

5) Games Played

 

 

 

These projections were made on October 3rd, and will not be updated once the season begins, because the randomness of the game is included as part of the forecasting process, and adjusting for in-season events would defeat the purpose of trying to predict what will happen.

 

The list below shows only the top 100 projected scorers. To see the entire list of more than 850 players, please become a member of Hockey Prophets and support the work that we do!! Thank you.

 

Spinning the wheel...
Player Rank Age Games ATOI Goals Assists Points Shots SPCT G60 A60 P60 S60
Connor McDavid 1 22 82 21.1 39 67 106 275 14.1 1.35 2.32 3.67 9.53
Nikita Kucherov 2 25 77 19.5 38 53 91 259 14.5 1.51 2.11 3.62 10.30
Patrick Kane 3 30 80 20.5 35 53 88 281 12.4 1.28 1.93 3.21 10.25
Sidney Crosby 4 31 79 20.2 35 53 88 243 14.3 1.32 2.00 3.32 9.16
Auston Matthews 5 21 80 18.5 42 43 85 283 15.0 1.70 1.74 3.44 11.45
Nathan MacKinnon 8 23 76 20.8 32 52 84 285 11.2 1.22 1.98 3.21 10.88
Blake Wheeler 7 32 80 20.2 24 60 84 245 9.9 0.90 2.24 3.14 9.16
Mitch Marner 6 21 82 18.4 26 58 84 227 11.3 1.03 2.31 3.34 9.02
Evgeni Malkin 9 32 73 18.9 34 49 83 221 15.6 1.48 2.14 3.62 9.64
Steven Stamkos 10 29 77 18.7 29 52 81 223 13.0 1.22 2.18 3.39 9.34
John Gaudreau 14 25 77 19.8 25 55 80 218 11.3 0.98 2.16 3.14 8.57
Claude Giroux 12 31 80 20.1 22 58 80 198 11.0 0.82 2.16 2.98 7.38
Mikko Rantanen 11 22 81 19.3 28 52 80 200 14.2 1.07 1.99 3.06 7.64
Artemi Panarin 13 27 80 19.8 30 50 80 214 14.0 1.14 1.91 3.05 8.16
Aleksander Barkov 15 23 80 21.1 31 48 79 244 12.6 1.11 1.71 2.82 8.70
Clayton Keller 16 20 78 18.5 23 56 79 221 10.6 0.95 2.31 3.26 9.12
Brad Marchand 17 30 73 19.5 32 47 79 202 16.0 1.36 1.99 3.35 8.56
Mark Scheifele 18 26 78 20.4 27 51 78 168 16.3 1.02 1.93 2.95 6.36
Alex Ovechkin 19 33 80 19.7 42 35 77 343 12.3 1.59 1.33 2.92 13.02
Jamie Benn 20 29 80 19.7 34 43 77 228 14.8 1.30 1.64 2.94 8.71
Taylor Hall 21 27 78 19.2 29 48 77 276 10.5 1.17 1.93 3.10 11.11
Sebastian Aho 22 21 82 19.3 29 47 76 250 11.4 1.10 1.78 2.88 9.48
John Tavares 24 28 79 20.1 32 43 75 253 12.6 1.21 1.63 2.84 9.58
Nicklas Backstrom 23 31 80 19.3 22 53 75 158 13.9 0.86 2.08 2.94 6.19
Anze Kopitar 28 31 79 21.6 24 50 74 180 13.5 0.85 1.76 2.61 6.35
Tyler Seguin 27 27 80 20.1 34 40 74 315 10.8 1.27 1.50 2.77 11.81
Phil Kessel 25 31 80 18.5 27 47 74 249 10.9 1.09 1.91 3.00 10.10
Brayden Point 26 23 80 18.9 32 42 74 229 14.0 1.27 1.67 2.93 9.08
Evgeny Kuznetsov 31 26 79 18.2 22 51 73 180 12.0 0.93 2.15 3.07 7.57
Brent Burns 29 34 80 25.2 22 51 73 324 6.8 0.65 1.51 2.17 9.61
Jack Eichel 30 22 80 20.0 29 44 73 293 9.8 1.09 1.66 2.76 11.06
Vladimir Tarasenko 34 27 79 19.2 38 34 72 300 12.6 1.50 1.34 2.84 11.84
Jakub Voracek 33 29 80 19.3 17 55 72 229 7.4 0.67 2.15 2.82 8.97
David Pastrnak 32 22 82 17.5 32 40 72 246 12.9 1.34 1.68 3.02 10.31
Mathew Barzal 35 21 75 18.0 20 50 70 181 11.3 0.88 2.20 3.09 7.98
Erik Karlsson 37 28 74 27.0 14 55 69 208 6.5 0.42 1.65 2.07 6.24
Patrik Laine 36 21 82 16.9 41 28 69 238 17.1 1.78 1.21 2.99 10.31
Leon Draisaitl 38 23 77 19.1 25 43 68 178 14.3 1.02 1.75 2.77 7.25
Ryan Getzlaf 40 33 66 21.1 12 55 67 135 9.0 0.52 2.39 2.91 5.86
Vincent Trocheck 39 25 80 20.8 29 38 67 252 11.4 1.05 1.38 2.43 9.14
Brock Boeser 41 22 76 18.1 34 32 66 230 15.0 1.48 1.39 2.87 9.99
Kyle Connor 42 22 78 18.6 27 38 65 219 12.4 1.12 1.57 2.69 9.08
Joe Pavelski 45 34 74 19.3 26 38 64 198 13.1 1.09 1.59 2.68 8.30
Mikael Granlund 43 27 78 18.7 21 43 64 183 11.3 0.87 1.78 2.64 7.56
Mark Stone 44 26 76 20.1 24 40 64 162 14.8 0.95 1.58 2.53 6.41
Evgeni Dadonov 48 30 72 19.7 25 38 63 194 12.7 1.05 1.60 2.65 8.16
Filip Forsberg 47 24 73 17.9 27 36 63 201 13.3 1.24 1.65 2.89 9.22
Brayden Schenn 46 27 80 18.9 27 36 63 194 13.9 1.08 1.44 2.52 7.75
Victor Hedman 51 28 77 25.2 15 47 62 197 7.7 0.46 1.45 1.92 6.09
John Klingberg 49 26 80 23.7 11 51 62 177 6.3 0.35 1.62 1.97 5.63
Alexander Radulov 50 32 79 19.6 21 41 62 192 11.1 0.82 1.59 2.41 7.47
Sean Monahan 52 24 76 18.5 28 33 61 199 14.0 1.19 1.41 2.60 8.48
Jaden Schwartz 56 26 76 19.0 21 39 60 181 11.6 0.88 1.63 2.51 7.56
Patrice Bergeron 57 33 71 19.5 26 34 60 253 10.1 1.13 1.48 2.62 11.03
Ryan O'Reilly 55 28 77 21.1 23 37 60 210 11.1 0.85 1.36 2.21 7.73
Ryan Johansen 54 26 79 18.5 14 46 60 150 9.2 0.58 1.90 2.48 6.20
Mike Hoffman 53 56 79 18.1 26 34 60 244 10.6 1.10 1.43 2.53 10.28
Nico Hischier 58 20 78 18.3 21 38 59 192 11.1 0.88 1.60 2.48 8.06
Sean Couturier 59 26 76 20.4 21 38 59 183 11.6 0.81 1.47 2.28 7.06
Rickard Rakell 60 25 75 18.5 30 29 59 208 14.4 1.30 1.25 2.55 9.00
Jonathan Huberdeau 63 25 71 18.8 21 37 58 181 11.5 0.94 1.66 2.61 8.13
Shayne Gostisbehere 62 26 76 20.8 14 44 58 206 6.8 0.53 1.67 2.20 7.82
Pierre-Luc Dubois 61 20 78 17.6 25 33 58 212 12.0 1.09 1.44 2.53 9.24
Nikolaj Ehlers 64 23 82 16.4 25 32 57 220 11.4 1.11 1.42 2.54 9.79
Derek Stepan 65 28 80 18.9 18 39 57 205 8.7 0.72 1.56 2.27 8.17
Mats Zuccarello 66 31 79 18.8 19 38 57 176 10.7 0.77 1.54 2.31 7.12
David Perron 73 30 73 17.4 14 42 56 135 10.7 0.66 1.98 2.64 6.36
Jonathan Toews 72 31 74 19.8 23 33 56 204 11.5 0.94 1.35 2.29 8.35
Gabriel Landeskog 71 26 76 19.6 21 35 56 177 11.8 0.85 1.41 2.25 7.12
John Carlson 70 29 76 24.1 13 43 56 206 6.3 0.42 1.40 1.82 6.71
Josh Bailey 69 29 77 17.7 15 41 56 148 10.0 0.66 1.80 2.46 6.49
Eric Staal 68 34 78 18.1 24 32 56 206 11.8 1.02 1.36 2.37 8.73
Matthew Tkachuk 67 21 82 17.0 22 34 56 210 10.2 0.95 1.46 2.41 9.03
Drew Doughty 74 29 80 27.1 12 43 55 194 6.2 0.33 1.19 1.52 5.37
Kris Letang 75 32 71 25.6 13 42 55 205 6.1 0.43 1.39 1.82 6.78
Roman Josi 79 28 75 24.7 15 39 54 237 6.2 0.49 1.26 1.75 7.68
Jordan Eberle 78 28 79 16.5 23 31 54 186 12.2 1.06 1.43 2.49 8.58
J.T. Miller 77 26 80 16.6 22 32 54 136 16.3 0.99 1.44 2.43 6.13
Dylan Larkin 76 22 82 18.5 19 35 54 219 8.9 0.75 1.38 2.13 8.66
Logan Couture 84 30 75 18.2 26 27 53 191 13.4 1.15 1.19 2.34 8.45
Viktor Arvidsson 83 26 76 16.9 25 28 53 234 10.5 1.16 1.30 2.47 10.90
Max Pacioretty 82 30 77 18.0 25 28 53 240 10.3 1.08 1.20 2.28 10.33
Matt Duchene 81 28 79 18.4 24 29 53 181 13.4 0.99 1.20 2.19 7.49
Anthony Mantha 80 24 80 18.3 26 27 53 216 12.2 1.07 1.11 2.18 8.89
Tyson Barrie 91 27 72 22.9 12 40 52 181 6.7 0.44 1.46 1.90 6.61
Jeff Carter 90 34 73 18.0 25 27 52 227 11.2 1.15 1.24 2.39 10.43
P.K. Subban 89 29 76 24.5 12 40 52 186 6.4 0.39 1.29 1.68 5.99
Charlie McAvoy 88 21 78 22.1 15 37 52 168 8.9 0.52 1.28 1.80 5.81
Cam Atkinson 87 29 78 18.6 26 26 52 234 11.1 1.07 1.07 2.14 9.64
Henrik Sedin 86 38 80 16.8 8 44 52 77 10.9 0.36 1.98 2.34 3.46
Teuvo Teravainen 85 24 80 16.5 18 34 52 171 10.4 0.82 1.55 2.37 7.80
Anders Lee 92 28 80 16.5 30 21 51 198 15.2 1.36 0.95 2.31 8.98
Daniel Sedin 93 38 80 16.4 20 31 51 200 10.0 0.92 1.42 2.34 9.18
Alex DeBrincat 99 21 78 16.3 23 27 50 190 12.1 1.08 1.27 2.36 8.95
Nazem Kadri 98 28 79 16.9 25 25 50 220 11.4 1.13 1.13 2.25 9.92
Jason Zucker 97 27 79 16.4 24 26 50 198 12.1 1.11 1.21 2.32 9.19
Tomas Hertl 96 25 79 19.0 23 27 50 196 11.9 0.92 1.08 2.00 7.83
Mikael Backlund 95 30 80 18.3 20 30 50 198 10.1 0.82 1.22 2.04 8.08
Nick Schmaltz 94 23 82 18.3 15 35 50 137 11.1 0.60 1.40 2.00 5.47
Philip Holm 0 27 20 15.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicholas Merkley 0 21 20 14.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kyle Capobianco 0 21 20 14.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Justin Kloos 0 25 20 9.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Giovanni Fiore 0 22 20 8.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Morgan Klimchuk 0 24 20 7.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alex Formenton 0 19 20 5.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Curtis Valk 0 26 20 3.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Andreas Englund 0 23 21 10.9 0 0 0 4 8.7 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07
Christian Jaros 0 23 21 8.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
ayer 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zach Whitecloud 0 22 20 17.0 0 0 0 0 8.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

 

 


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