Single-Season Player Projections for 2016-2017

 

The list below projects NHL player performances for the 2016-2017 season. The current model uses past NHL performance as a predictor based on age, the number of seasons in the league and actual performance in several key categories (therefore, many 2016-2017 rookie players will not be included):

1) Average Time On Ice

2) Shots per 60

3) Assists per 60

4) Shooting Percentage

5) Games Played

 

 

 

These projections were made on October 11th, and will not be updated once the season begins, because the randomness of the game is included as part of the forecasting process, and adjusting for in-season events would defeat the purpose of trying to predict what will happen.

 

The list below shows only the top-thirty projected scorers. To see the entire list of more than 850 players, please become a member of Hockey Prophets and support the work that we do!! Thank you.

 

Spinning the wheel...
Player Name Rank Age Games Average Time on Ice Goals Assists Points Shots Shooting Percentage Goals per 60 Assists per 60 Points per 60 Shots per 60
Patrick Kane 1 28 76 20.2 35 53 88 256 13.8 1.38 2.09 3.47 10.08
Jamie Benn 2 27 80 19.9 35 48 83 247 14.1 1.32 1.81 3.12 9.29
Connor McDavid 3 20 78 18.9 27 55 82 205 13.0 1.11 2.25 3.36 8.40
Alex Ovechkin 4 31 78 20.3 50 27 77 388 12.9 1.89 1.02 2.92 14.69
Tyler Seguin 5 25 73 19.5 35 41 76 283 12.2 1.47 1.72 3.19 11.89
Erik Karlsson 6 26 80 28.3 18 58 76 255 7.2 0.48 1.53 2.01 6.74
Joe Pavelski 9 32 80 19.9 37 37 74 228 16.3 1.39 1.39 2.78 8.58
John Gaudreau 8 23 78 19.8 29 45 74 215 13.4 1.14 1.76 2.90 8.42
Joe Thornton 7 37 80 18.5 15 59 74 122 12.2 0.61 2.41 3.02 4.99
John Tavares 10 26 77 20.3 32 41 73 249 12.8 1.23 1.58 2.81 9.58
Vladimir Tarasenko 11 25 77 19.5 38 35 73 281 13.6 1.53 1.41 2.94 11.30
Sidney Crosby 12 29 63 20.5 26 46 72 196 13.3 1.21 2.14 3.34 9.10
Claude Giroux 13 29 78 20.5 25 47 72 244 10.1 0.94 1.76 2.70 9.15
Blake Wheeler 14 30 80 19.6 27 45 72 244 11.0 1.04 1.73 2.77 9.38
Ryan Getzlaf 16 31 76 19.9 22 49 71 183 11.8 0.87 1.93 2.80 7.22
Evgeny Kuznetsov 15 24 79 18.4 21 50 71 195 10.6 0.87 2.07 2.94 8.07
Anze Kopitar 17 29 79 20.5 23 47 70 166 13.6 0.85 1.73 2.58 6.12
Nicklas Backstrom 18 29 77 19.6 16 53 69 141 11.6 0.64 2.11 2.75 5.62
Jack Eichel 19 20 77 19.1 32 36 68 314 10.3 1.30 1.46 2.75 12.71
Artemi Panarin 20 25 77 19.0 21 46 67 184 11.2 0.86 1.89 2.76 7.57
Filip Forsberg 21 22 82 19.2 27 40 67 247 11.1 1.03 1.53 2.56 9.43
Brent Burns 22 32 79 24.3 24 43 67 310 7.9 0.75 1.35 2.10 9.71
Max Pacioretty 23 28 79 18.7 35 31 66 293 12.0 1.42 1.26 2.68 11.88
Jonathan Drouin 24 22 75 19.1 20 45 65 213 9.5 0.84 1.89 2.72 8.93
Ryan Johansen 25 24 79 18.1 22 43 65 192 11.7 0.92 1.80 2.72 8.04
Jakub Voracek 26 27 75 18.4 18 46 64 215 8.4 0.78 1.99 2.76 9.28
Nathan MacKinnon 27 21 82 19.2 24 40 64 280 8.7 0.91 1.52 2.44 10.66
Aleksander Barkov 28 21 78 19.6 26 38 64 210 12.6 1.01 1.48 2.49 8.18
Patrice Bergeron 29 31 79 19.2 29 34 63 260 11.2 1.15 1.35 2.50 10.33
Evgeni Malkin 30 30 64 19.4 24 38 62 188 12.6 1.17 1.85 3.02 9.14

 

 


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